Dr. Hansen’s NASA forecast a strong El Nino for this summer.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Well, they can’t get thier signs straight so this is not really all that surprising.
It is a number and there is proof that in climatology the sign is not important!
I’m sure I heard James Hansen say, “Shinola.”
The latest ENSO report from the Australian BoM came out yesterday and it says..
“The majority of international climate model forecasts of ENSO show that neutral conditions are likely to continue for the remainder of the southern winter and into spring with the chances of an El Niño developing now considered unlikely. In fact, more models are now predicting further cooling over the coming season.”
However as I’ve kept saying, if the NINO 3.4 graph swings back to negative territory after the middle of July, we’re in for another La Nina.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/monitoring/nino3_4.png
Plus the SOI index has swung back into La Nina territory
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/monitoring/soi30.thumb.png
And some cool waters are surfacing replacing the warmer waters
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/sub_surf_mon_thumb.gif
All points to a coming La Nina and another heavy wet season in Queensland early next year.