By blowing up the unbelieving (El) Niño in her classroom, Franny has reversed Hansen’s hottest year ever! The innocent red blood she shed is turning into blue all over the globe.
The results of 10/10/10 are becoming immediately apparent in both hemispheres. At the end of 110 years of unprecedented warming, we were experiencing the hottest year ever. But in a matter of just three days since 10/10, below average temperatures are appearing everywhere.
The graph below unhides the remarkable decline.
Steve, can you give a link allowing me to verify that Hansen actually did say that this year was the “Hottest year ever!”, which is implied in the article. Amino seems sensitive to this sort of thing, so if Hansen actually did say that (without the proper qualification) I’d like to criticise him for it.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jun/02/2010-could-be-warmest-year-ever
Ah, so he didn’t actually say it would be the hottest year ever. You are ignoring the fact that the previous quote shows he was talking about a record in the instrumental record, and the fact that an important qualification may have been edited out in the … .
It is a clear misrepresentation of what Hansen actually said to imply he said it would be the hottest year ever, he clearly said no such thing. It seems to have confused Amino for a start, so I would recommend you change the wording to say “Hottest year on the instrumental record” or something similar.
“NASA: The 12-month running mean global temperature has reached a new record in 2010 ”
http://climateprogress.org/2010/06/03/nasa-giss-james-hansen-study-global-warming-record-hottest-year/
That is still not the same as “the hottest year ever”, simply because we only have a mean global temperature to compute a 12 month running mean of for the last 130 years or so.
If you read the NASA document itself, rather than merely a blog report on it, it says “Record high global 12-month running-mean temperature FOR THE PERIOD WITH INSTRUMENTAL DATA was reached in 2010” [SHOUTING mine rather than NASAs].
Your “hottest year ever!” remains a misrepresentation of what Hansen actually wrote.
Did you miss the hickey stick graph at the top of the post?
How could 2010 be the hottest in the instrumental record and not also be the hottest in the graph?
How about it’s the warmest year ever contrived by James Hansen?
Steve, (a) the hockey stick graph goes back 1000 years, that isn’t “ever” (b) the hockey stick is a proxy record, not an instrumental record, so it is clear that he is not talking about the period covered by the hockeys stick, just the part of it for which we have instrumental (i.e. thermometer) data.
Hansen may also claim that modern temperatures are higher than the MWP, but that isn’t what he said in the quote you provided, and relies on another set of qualifications, such as “according to the Mann hockey stick” (or whatever proxy record he chose to cite). However that still doesn’t mean he thinks the 2010 is the “hottest year ever!”, if nothing else I would assume he is aware of the Holocence climatic optimum (the “optimum” is the giveaway) and hence wouldn’t make such a claim that would be so easily refuted. As I said, good scientists make claims the same way chess players choose their moves.
So your suggestion Hansen claims 2010 is the “hottest year ever!” remains a misrepresentation of what he has actually said.
By the way, I am also somewhat of a connoisseur of sarcasm, so I did enjoy the article as well – worth the effort put into it – have you seen DenialDepot – also very funny?
And Hansen of course goes to great trouble with the press to educate them on all the nuances in his statements, the ifs, ands, and buts ….give me a break
Seconded.
Any science journalist that doesn’t know what “in the instrumental record” actually means (or is too lazy to find out) deserved to be fired. The funny thing is that the press appears to have reported Hansen and the NASA report correctly, it is only Steve that has misrepresented what he actually said.
You don’t seem to understand what the hockey stick is. It is the instrumental record grafted on to the tree ring record. If you are at the top of the instrumental record, then of course you are also at the top of the historical record.
I just assume that readers know how to think logically, and most do – but obviously not all.
Yes, but Hansen did not say “in the historical record”, he said “in the period with instrumental data”. The fact that he gave an explicit qualification saying that the record only applied to the instrumental data means that it is a clear misrepresentation to suggest he meant anything else.
And as I pointed out earlier, the historical data isn’t “ever”, so even if he had meant the last 1000 years, it would still be a misrepresentation.
There was a hotter day during the Triassic. It was July 17, 232,463,129 BC.
“http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jun/02/2010-could-be-warmest-year-ever
http://www.hindustantimes.com/2010-could-be-hottest-year-ever/Article1-545527.aspx
“The world is hotter than ever.”
http://www.usatoday.com/weather/climate/2010-07-15-heat-record_N.htm
World simmers in hottest year so far
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66F4SF20100716
http://climateprogress.org/2010/07/10/nasa-hottest-year-solar-minimum/
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/weather/uk_and_roi/article7134047.ece
There’s never been a hotter year than this year.
http://blogs.seattleweekly.com/dailyweekly/2010/08/this_is_the_warmest_year_ever.php
You fellows cannot have it both ways.
This is your story. You can split hairs and deny it but apparently
most of the world’s press reads and publishes it that way.
“hottest in the instrumental record “ gets some mention but
that is menaingless because as you can see it is far hotter than any year on that hockey stick and that is longer than the instrumental record, and the story from Goreville, has been consistently that the marvelous consistency of that stick extends back to forever. That is what your believers believe.
So too bad that you told them wrong and now they repeat it.
And you want to hang Steven for pointing it out ?
Yeeesh”
Jimash
If you get your science from the ‘Press’ you have only yourself to blame.