The bottom line is that the relatively weak warming of the ocean since the 1950s is consistent with negative feedback (low climate sensitivity), not positive feedback. The ocean mixed layer and the atmosphere convectively coupled to it loses excess heat to outer space before it can be mixed into the deep ocean.
In other words, Trenberth’s missing heat is not in the deep ocean…it’s instead lost in outer space.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Maybe he should change his name to another famous incompetent scientist – Dr. Zachary Smith. They have a lot in common.
Dr. Smith was a bedwetter……..
I referenced the new Kennedy etal. paper in another post but it applies here as well. The Kennedy etal. paper on HADSST corrections is showing .38C degree rise in SST from 1940 to 2006. Even accounting for a 30 year lag and looking at the CO2 rise from 1910 to 1976, a .05757C degrees/decade of SST warming doesn’t seem to support the kind of sensitivity being used in GCMs and tends to agree with S&B’s latest paper of negative feedbacks. I may have interpruted the Kennedy data incorrectly and would appreciate feedback.
I think Spencer is right on with regard to climate sensitivity to CO2. It is becoming more and more apparent that they have seriously over estimated it in the climate models.
A real, as opposed to a post-normal, scientist would admit that their theories may be wrong. Of course they are most interested in affecting policy, so we can kiss any real assessment of the data away. It will always be “worse than we thought”.
Great article about the report in Remote Sensing by Spencer:
http://blogs.forbes.com/jamestaylor/2011/07/27/new-nasa-data-blow-gaping-hold-in-global-warming-alarmism/
CAGW is falling apart. Remember the drowned Poley Bear story? Apparently, it’s being investigated:
http://news.yahoo.com/apnewsbreak-arctic-scientist-under-investigation-082217993.html
With this kind of optimism, he must be an IPCC expert…
I probably even have that much of a chance with Lauren Holly. That keeps me going.
Dr T discussing the chances of finding his missing heat! 8)
Winner!
Higher temps produce more clouds over oceans, albedo goes from 6% to 60% but, at altitude 5,000m it only has half the density of atmosphere to bounce back through, and only half the volume of CO2 to trap it so much more of it returns to space. Meanwhile, oceanic absorption drops from 94% of insolation to 40%.
And if we really wanted to prevent warming we should just dump loads of highly reflective floating garbage in the Pacific Gyre.