Verifying Another NASA Forecast

Posted on June 21, 2011 by Tony Heller

http://science1.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2006/21dec_cycle24/

The graph below shows Hathaway’s prediction in red, and the counted sunspot numbers in blue.

About Tony Heller

Just having fun
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5 Responses to Verifying Another NASA Forecast

  1. Jimbo says:
    June 21, 2011 at 8:38 am

    NASA and the IPCC have one thing in common. A divergence problem.

    Reply
  2. Mike Davis says:
    June 21, 2011 at 11:24 am

    You need to make outrageous projections to assure additional funding for future research.
    Based on past performance NASA should be defunded.

    Reply
  3. RichyRoo says:
    June 21, 2011 at 1:00 pm

    @Mike: The problem with the funding is as you say. If it doesnt have an extinction level event ‘worst case scenario’ to excite the funding committees then it doesnt get a look in.

    Reply
  4. chris y says:
    June 21, 2011 at 3:16 pm

    The ‘scenarios’ of NASA’s solar cycle 24 predictions

    Date prediction made…..date of min…….forecast pk….. pk date

    01/2004- min 1/07, 160 pk
    01/2005- min 1/07, 145 pk 2010
    01/2006- min 1/07, 145 pk, 2010
    01/2007- min 6/07, 145 pk, 2010
    03/2008- min 6/08, 130 pk, 2011.5
    01/2009- min 1/09, 105 pk, 2012
    04/2009- min 4/09, 104 pk, 2013
    05/2009- min 5/09, 90 pk, 2013.5
    11/2009- min 5/09, <50 pk, 20??
    04/2010- min 12/08, 70 pk, 2013.5
    06/2010- min 12/08, 65 pk, 2013.5
    10/2010- min 12/08, 64 pk, 2013.5
    12/2010- min 12/08, 64 pk, 2013.5
    04/2011- min 12/08, 62 pk, 2013.5

    NASA forecasters 'nailed' the 12/2008 minimum by April, 2010…

    Reply
  5. Sundance says:
    June 21, 2011 at 4:20 pm

    Any further word on the NASA whistle blower who claims that NASA over-reported sun spots on pupose to prevent the public from having concerns about a possible deep solar minimum?

    Reply

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