Since July 23, Arctic ice area loss has been the second slowest on record. Ice loss has been 61% of normal, and was just slightly faster than 2001.
arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.anom.1979-2008
Climate experts tell us that Arctic sea ice is thin, decayed, rotten, and screaming, and that it is all going to melt away quite suddenly during the next week.
BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013′
Seth Borenstein in Washington
Associated PressDecember 12, 2007“The Arctic is screaming,” said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colorado.
This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”
Keep this lot for the record and future reference.
Nice list Jimbo.
I emailed Jay Zwally some months back and asked him if he was going to offer a public apology for issuing alarmist predictions on his Arctic melt business. He hasn’t replied to me.
Looks like Peter Wadhams needs to be asked the same question. However, don’t any of the media who carried the first predictions ever bother to see if any of them are ever right? Is there no real journalistic ethics left?
Wadhams is in danger of becoming the new Viner. If his date of 2016 fails then he will forever be ridiculed. In fact he also said “not later than 2015 there won’t be any ice in the Arctic” so we could start ridiculing him in September 2015 (if he fails).
“Keep this lot for the record and future reference”
Yeah good one Jimbo.
It’ll be interesting when he Arctic sea doesn’t melt like they claimed. What will they do in the future? “Deny’ they made those ice melt claims. As much as they often ‘deny’ all those 1970s coming ice age scare articles that were written. 🙂
Some will point to their caveats. Others, like Wadhams, is more certain and cannot escape. He has painted himself into a corner and if he’s wrong he will be ridiculed mercilessly by sceptics. Just ask Viner.
If we give them today, they have 13 days to see an ice free summer day this year! Meteorological Summer ends on Aug 31.
Reggie’s blowtorch consisted of vile, superheated spewtum coming out of his mouth.
http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/08/19/russian-meteor-explosion-atmosphere/?intcmp=features
Hmmm. Effect on climate? The Arctic has had the coolest summer on record (going back to 1958).
Add a meteor to the list along in addition to volcanoes and I guess we have the ‘quadruple crown’ of global cooling. (Better update your website Bob Felix.)
The “alarmist” crowd doesn’t dare blame the cool weather on high altitude meteor dust. No matter how convenient (or possibly accurate) such an explanation may be.
Because that would mean that there is a simple, low-cost solution to their crisis of out-of-control global warming.
i.e. remove the particulate emissions limits from coal fired power plants. Or launch several tons of fine particulates into the stratosphere. No need for carbon taxes or carbon credits.
That means that the alarmistas-in-chiefs high up in their ivory towers are still sweating in the cool, temperate breezes about how to spin the lack of warming for 17 years.
All the way around they have a pickle.
Of course, the real solution is to keep the plants running, go back to pre-2007 scrubber requirements and get rid of the added CO2 restrictions. Voilà.
And, of course, burn all peddlers and purveyors of catastrophobia and related snake oils, at the stake. I realize that with the vast numbers, this will take years, but the fires will be good, perhaps we might accidently start some forest fires and replenish the earth with necessary nutrients in the process. 😉
Arctic ice extent will become unimportant in the narrative as soon as it is clearly increasing. It will join surface temperature as an obsolete measure. Now the deep ocean temperature, that’s the one to watch. Should it falter, however, rest assured that a new measure will be concocted as a reason for alarm, and even while created with as much care as possible, will be replaced again should it stumble.
Actually I think a failure of the arctic to thaw will be a “final straw” for a lot of people. It was a keystone in the arch of Alarmism. People who were asked “to make sacrifices to save the planet” will want their money back, and I fear that is when things may get ugly.
They will just lie about it like they do everything else.
On Mon, Aug 19, 2013 at 4:10 PM, Real Science
They have been wearing a smiley-face mask of altruism. With that mask stripped off, a far uglier face will be appear.
Either I meant “will appear” or I meant “will be apparent.” Either works.
Not that some haven’t seen through the mask all along, (or, even if fooled at first, have seen through the sham for a good long while now.)
A sustained Arctic rebound would be a public relations disaster for Warmists. People will have to face up to the fact that they were taken in by a hoax.
I agree. I was scolded for calling the scam a hoax back in 2007, but I now sense people whole once saw me as “one of those flat-earthers” are now coming around.
I have six years worth of pent up purple prose boiling in my pen, and am working on a tongue-lashing that ought turn politicians beet red.
The Yong Sheng, a rust-streaked Chinese vessel, is on a truly historic journey.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/aug/18/china-northeastern-sea-route-trial-voyage
http://www.marinetraffic.com/ais/es/default.aspx?oldmmsi=477265600&zoom=10&olddate=lastknown
the Yong Sheng’s journey, which began on 8 August from Dalian, a port in north-eastern China, to Rotterdam is being watched with fascination by politicians and scientists. They are intrigued, not by its cargo, but by its route – for the Yong Sheng is headed in the opposite direction from the Netherlands and sailing towards the Bering Strait that separates Russia and Alaska. Once through the strait, it will enter the Arctic Ocean, where it will attempt one of the most audacious voyages of modern seafaring: sailing through one of the Arctic’s fabled passages, the Northern Sea Route.
“We always knew global warming would affect the planet first in the Arctic, but we have been floored by the rapidity of that change,” said Mark Serreze, director of the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado.
“Temperatures have risen dramatically. At this rate, I would expect the Arctic to be completely free of ice in summer by around 2030. That is why everyone has become so interested in the region.”
Ice-free in summer by 2030??? The bar keeps moving.