VIENNA, Austria — Scientists working with a new computer model designed to predict the fate of the Arctic ice cap unveiled their findings at the European Geosciences Union (EGU) general assembly Meeting in Vienna this week.
According to the updated predictions, based on a new computing model designed to replicate real-world interactions between the Arctic ocean, atmosphere and freshwater sources, Arctic summers could be ice-free within this decade.
The model predicts ice-free Arctic caps during the summer of 2016, although – depending on weather patterns – it may take until 2019 until the first summer when the Arctic will have lost its long-term ice cover.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Keep those “updated predictions” coming… Eventually one might be right.
Here’s a prediction that’s sure to be right: if the Arctic ever does become ice-free in summer, alarmists will pick out a group of “experts” that predicted it for that year, and say: “See? Scientists predicted this! AGW is real.. blah, blah, blah..”.
Yawn.
These idiots are soooooo boring. Endless failed predictions with no hint of shame or self-scrutiny. The Arctic was expected to be ice-free in 2008! Gore is on the record for 2013 and now 2020 or something like that. AGW IS A SCAM!
The loss of ice in the Arctic has been predicted for every year during the next 300 and some “Scientists” Pseudo Psychics have predicted multiple years just to be on the safe side. The PPs at NSIDC may have the most years covered
The predictions have been wrong to date, thus there shouldn’t be much confidence with respect to what they say about the future.
As an economist who has to provide regular point forecasts, which almost always turn out to be wrong, my advice would be to stop issuing forecasts that specify an event (e.g., ice free arctic) and the timing of the event (e.g., 2016). Such forecasts, especially when they are being made without any basis, will always lead to “egg your face” outcome.